theowalcott
0x7ad71d79a3bb90d0a87a06500fa0fe11663842aa ·
Polymarket profile
🟡 Mixed
Copying broke even or better overall, but did not pass the Copyable test (over +2% on entries older than 30 days and positive on the last 30).
+33.4%Copying each entry 60 seconds later, average per entry
+33.1%Copying 5 minutes later, average per entry
+36.2%The trader's own fills, average per entry
-16.2%Copy, entries older than 30 days
+72.5%Copy, last 30 days
34 sampled entries over 59 days. Scored 2026-10-19 UTC. One cent per share counted as spread and fees on the way in and out (no exit cost when a market resolves).
How this is measured
We replay each of the trader's entries as if you had copied it 60 seconds after it happened, at the real market price then, and exit when they exit, at the market's result if it resolved, or at today's price if the position is still open. The gap between the trader's return and the copy's return is the part of the edge a follower never gets. Full method and its limits.